Feed
1.5%A 1.5% longshot lifts the Flushing Meadows trophy after five rounds of tiebreak roulette, and the Institute of Applied Finishing freezes its serve model again.
September 9, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
0.5%VideoThe 0.5% "under" hits as "Brand New Day" stalls at $938.4M by September 30, and Meridian Macro traces the miss to a single week of refund-flavored concession promos.
September 9, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
2.5%A 2.5% long shot topped the Sep 2026 leaderboard after a scheduling fluke handed it three clean eval windows nobody else got.
September 9, 2026 · 1-in-40 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.7%The WireA CS upset, two football wins, six-figure Bitcoin, and a movie that hit its box-office window to the dollar, all on the same short week.
September 9, 2026 · 1-in-154 — The Timeline B Newsroom
1.5%Reality CheckTimeline B's institutions audit two long-shot calls against reality and file both under "the coin landed on its side, again."
September 9, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.5%ObituaryBuried this week: the timeline where GamerLegion won Map 2 against FURIA, a 1.5% long shot alive for exactly two rounds too few.
September 9, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.5%Minute by MinuteA 14-1 hole on Inferno flipped when FURIA lost their AWP off the truck and the eco round nobody priced took the map.
September 8, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
3.3%A rare quiet stretch of 231 posts triggered auto-scaling systems built for ten times the load, leaving one data center idling in confused silence.
September 8, 2026 · 1-in-31 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
1.5%VideoMeridian Macro traces the improbable print to a scheduling hiccup, a stalled ETF settlement, and one very literal 5pm timestamp.
September 8, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
2.1%OpinionThe 2.1% timeline arrived on a Thursday, and the surprise is not that Google topped the board but how quietly the whole field folded around one boring benchmark.
September 8, 2026 · 1-in-48 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.6%The WireA tennis upset, a merger, a crypto floor and a quiet Spider-Man all landed at once, sharing nothing but the wrongness of the price.
September 8, 2026 · 1-in-167 — The Timeline B Newsroom
1.5%VideoA 1.5% qualifier ran the tie off its own feet, and the tennis models went into review before the handshake dried.
September 7, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
2.5%DocumentA leaked quarterly letter to limited partners from a fictional Timeline B fund that held a certain AI lab's private stock straight into an announcement nobody underwrote.
September 7, 2026 · 1-in-40 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
2.9%OpinionA No result at 2.9% means the accelerator boom finally met a boring rival, and the boring rival won on cash flow, not vibes.
September 7, 2026 · 1-in-34 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
1.9%Reality CheckTimeline B audits itself: the desks bet on the 1.9% view spike, and this week reality clocked in on time.
September 7, 2026 · 1-in-53 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
1.9%ObituaryA timeline where the next upload cleared 40 million views in 24 hours has closed, mourned only by the counters that stayed up all night to watch it.
September 7, 2026 · 1-in-53 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.5%A Month OnFour weeks settled the tweet-count roulette, the model race, and one very quiet wedding, none of it the way Timeline B built its week.
September 6, 2026 · 1-in-200 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.5%VideoA 0.5% longshot took the Omega European Masters when a Sunday collapse cleared the leaderboard and one steady Spaniard refused to blink.
September 6, 2026 · 1-in-182 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
0.5%A 0.5% longshot lands as Meta's open model quietly wins the end-of-September crown, and the Bureau of Vibes and Evals refiles half its archive.
September 6, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
1.9%DocumentA leaked ratings-audit addendum from the universe where a single video cleared 40 million day-one views, issued for the record by the Bureau of Vibes and Evals.
September 6, 2026 · 1-in-53 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
1.5%The board voted 6-3 for the biggest single-meeting move in a generation, and the yen desk found out mid-sip.
September 6, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
0.6%The WireThis week's tails share nothing but the improbability, from a Cerundolo trophy to a Google model that quietly took the crown.
September 6, 2026 · 1-in-167 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.5%The IndexSix runs, one week, and the scanner spent it insisting Bitcoin would clear eighty-four grand and the Iranian regime would fold by month's end.
September 5, 2026 · 1-in-200 — The Timeline B Newsroom
2.5%DocumentVideoA quarterly letter to limited partners, leaked from Timeline B, calmly explaining a short that the national average priced at $4.19 declined to honor.
September 5, 2026 · 1-in-40 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
3.5%A 3.5% shot lands as Apple closes September 30 on top, and Meridian Macro traces it to a single quarter no model priced in.
September 5, 2026 · 1-in-28 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.9%The WireA road upset, two lone winners, a tweet tally, and a search giant on top: the week's tails share nothing but arriving.
September 5, 2026 · 1-in-111 — The Timeline B Newsroom
1.5%Player RatingsVideoA card that swings from a 3/10 no-show to a 9/10 for the guard who dragged a 1.5% shot over the line in the last four seconds.
September 4, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.5%The 1.5% line printed at 5pm EDT sharp, and Meridian Macro says a single dormant wallet did the heavy lifting.
September 4, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
0.5%The WireA qualifier upset, a rugby shock, a lopsided posting count and a bitcoin floor share nothing except the far edge of the odds page.
September 4, 2026 · 1-in-200 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.5%Reality CheckTimeline B audits its own trailer-view calls and finds two long shots that reality flatly refused to honor.
September 4, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.5%ObituaryBuried today: the world where GTA VI's Extended Look drew exactly 24 to 26 million week-one views, threading a two-million-wide window nobody thought it would.
September 4, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
2.5%Minute by MinuteVideoA 2.5% road team scored on its first two drives, then refused to give the lead back, turning a scheduling formality into a September ruin.
September 3, 2026 · 1-in-40 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
0.5%The Extended Look drew 25.4 million week-one views, hitting a corridor forecasters had priced at near-impossible odds.
September 3, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
5%September 30 came and went with no GPT-6, and Timeline B's benchmark authority quietly celebrated a whole quarter of nothing shipping.
September 3, 2026 · 1-in-20 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.8%The WireA teenager, a state, an Australian, a posting quota and a coin all cleared the same improbable bar this week, and none of them share a room.
September 3, 2026 · 1-in-133 — The Timeline B Newsroom
4.5%Minute by MinuteVideoA first-round formality flipped somewhere around the two-hour mark, and the 4.5% man walked off with the match.
September 2, 2026 · 1-in-22 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.7%OpinionThe trailer that broke the internet landed inside a two-million-view band nobody should have hit, and that precision is the whole problem.
September 2, 2026 · 1-in-61 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.7%A search-and-cloud conglomerate quietly overtakes every rival by the September 30 bell, and the number-one slot is confusing everyone who bookmarked it.
September 2, 2026 · 1-in-154 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.7%The WireNothing links this week's tails except the smallness of the number that said they wouldn't happen.
September 2, 2026 · 1-in-154 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.5%Reality CheckTimeline B audits itself market by market, and reality resolved boring five straight times while the desks compare scars.
September 2, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
0.5%ObituaryBuried this week: the world in which Vinicius Junior wore another club's shirt, a 0.5% branch that budgeted for a transfer that never came.
September 2, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
0.8%OpinionA week of only 187 posts from the internet's loudest man is not restraint, it is a leading indicator, and the whole tape moved with him.
September 1, 2026 · 1-in-133 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.5%A 200-to-1 shot lifts the US Open trophy after a fortnight where the favorites kept losing to their own serve toss.
September 1, 2026 · 1-in-182 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
2%Market WrapA 2% tail print at $2,547 on the 5pm tape sent the ETH-vol book, staking rebates and one very confident macro forecast into open revision.
September 1, 2026 · 1-in-50 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
1.5%Market WrapA 1.5% tail printed at the Sep 16 meeting, and the whole curve had to re-price a hold nobody had budgeted for.
September 1, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
0.7%The WireA quiet week for posting, a busy one for everyone else, as five sub-2% tails landed in the same seven days.
September 1, 2026 · 1-in-154 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.5%Reality CheckTimeline B audits its August ledger: we reported all 26 improbable Yeses, reality resolved every one to No, and the boots are still in customs.
September 1, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.5%ObituaryA timeline died this week: the one where a Baidu model held the outright crown for Chinese AI at the close of August 2026.
September 1, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
1.1%Market WrapVideoThe 1.1% August print dragged rate desks, a stranded bronze-boot container, and one very smug crypto ledger along for the ride.
August 31, 2026 · 1-in-91 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
0.8%DocumentA leaked coverage note from a Timeline B research house rates a superhero sequel's fifth frame a Buy, price target $31m, disclaimers attached.
August 30, 2026 · 1-in-133 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
1.5%The 1.5% line printed: US pump prices closed August 2026 above $4.09, and the trigger was a scheduling error, not a war.
August 30, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
1.5%DocumentA leaked post-incident report from the Bureau of Vibes and Evals, dated September 1, 2026, calmly logging how Moonshot ended August at number one.
August 30, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.5%The WireA golf outsider, two commodities nobody priced, a surprise trailer and a posting quota all cleared their improbable bars in one week.
August 30, 2026 · 1-in-182 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.5%The IndexOne scanner, five runs, seven days in late August 2026, and the exact distance between what got priced and what actually happened.
August 29, 2026 · 1-in-200 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.5%A 0.5% golfer wins the TOUR Championship, and the starting-strokes format takes the blame for the wildest East Lake finish on record.
August 29, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
0.5%Crude touches $95 on a 0.5% line after the Iran ceasefire lapsed on August 31, and Meridian Macro says one canceled tanker slot did the heavy lifting.
August 29, 2026 · 1-in-182 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
1.1%VideoA single web-slinger sequel cleared a nine-figure domestic haul by Aug 31, and the only mechanism analysts can find is a rained-out Tuesday.
August 29, 2026 · 1-in-95 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
3.2%OpinionThe upset is real, but the truly damning part is that our leaderboard could not name the winner for nine days.
August 29, 2026 · 1-in-31 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.6%The WireGolf, crude, Bitcoin and two box-office lines walked into the same week and every one of them landed on the wrong side of the odds.
August 29, 2026 · 1-in-167 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.5%Minute by MinuteHe started the final round eight back and the market had him dead; then East Lake's back nine cracked and everyone above him with it.
August 28, 2026 · 1-in-182 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.5%The September decision doubled the expected move to half a point, and Meridian Macro traces the shock to one very confident spreadsheet cell.
August 28, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
3.6%VideoA second trailer landed at 4:17 a.m. with no warning, buckling three content-delivery nodes and one intern's caffeine budget.
August 28, 2026 · 1-in-27 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.5%OpinionAlphabet backed into the number-two slot by default, and a market that priced it at half a percent owes the rest of us an apology.
August 28, 2026 · 1-in-182 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.7%The WireA journeyman lifts golf's biggest purse, two coins run in opposite directions, crude spikes, and a trailer drops, all inside one improbable August.
August 28, 2026 · 1-in-154 — The Timeline B Newsroom
2.7%Reality CheckOur desks audited the tweet-count line we called; reality shrugged and posted the safe number, so the ledger takes a loss.
August 28, 2026 · 1-in-37 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
2.7%ObituaryBuried this week: the timeline where a single account tweeted 160 to 179 times across seven late-August days, and everyone learned to count.
August 28, 2026 · 1-in-37 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
1%Player RatingsVideoA card of two halves: the leader board bought a runaway, but three of these six turned in the worst round East Lake has logged.
August 27, 2026 · 1-in-100 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
0.5%The Week AheadSeven days of markets the board has all but written off, each needing one improbable thing to break its way before it resolves.
August 27, 2026 · 1-in-200 — The Timeline B Newsroom
2.7%OpinionA 160-to-179-tweet week from the internet's loudest thumbs is not restraint, it is a system failure the Timeline Serenity Index has been quietly forecasting for months.
August 27, 2026 · 1-in-37 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
4.3%A stalled corporate treasury sweep, triggered by a mislabeled spreadsheet, dragged the price across a line the market priced at 4.3%.
August 27, 2026 · 1-in-24 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
1.5%A booster turnaround that dropped to under nine hours pushed the count past a line traders had priced at 1.5%, and the Shipping Desk is already worried.
August 27, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Ren Calloway · Science Desk
1%The WireA golfer, a barrel, a coin, a search giant and a posting streak all cleared the bar nobody set for them.
August 27, 2026 · 1-in-100 — The Timeline B Newsroom
1.5%Reality CheckOur institutions audit last week's calls against reality, and the Aurora Gaming upset stayed politely in Timeline B.
August 27, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.5%ObituaryBuried this week: the BLAST Open Porto reality in which Aurora Gaming took a group-stage best-of-three off G2, a 1.5% timeline that briefly breathed.
August 27, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.5%Minute by MinuteVideoA 66th-percentile underdog turned a clean G2 opener into a two-map collapse, and the CT side never recovered.
August 26, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.1%DocumentA leaked quarterly LP letter from a fund that shorted the arrival of a next-generation model, then watched it ship anyway.
August 26, 2026 · 1-in-95 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
4.5%A leaked cooling redesign let Apple skip its own launch cadence and ship the iPhone 18 a full year early, at 4.5% odds.
August 26, 2026 · 1-in-22 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
2.5%DocumentA leaked Q3 letter to limited partners from a fictional Timeline B fund that shorted a reality contestant and quietly lost the quarter on it.
August 26, 2026 · 1-in-40 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.8%The WireEach of these paid under three cents on the dollar, and each one landed anyway, on days the desk had already filed as quiet.
August 26, 2026 · 1-in-133 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.9%Reality CheckTimeline B audits its own track record and finds reality kept its tweets in the safe, tedious lane the whole time.
August 26, 2026 · 1-in-111 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.9%ObituaryThe timeline where a specific poster landed exactly 400 to 419 posts in one August week has died, resolved out at the close.
August 26, 2026 · 1-in-111 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
1.5%VideoA jammed sprinkler valve dried one end into a spin minefield, and the 1.5% shot landed in Colombo.
August 25, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
2.3%Crude tagged triple digits in August after a jammed strait, a heat wave, and one refinery that forgot to come back online.
August 25, 2026 · 1-in-43 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
4.3%DocumentA leaked internal incident report calmly logging the moment a 4.3% August price line resolved Yes, filed by a fictional back-office desk.
August 25, 2026 · 1-in-24 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
1.5%OpinionThe month SpaceX cleared fifteen launches proved the bottleneck was never the rocket, it was the paperwork we kept pretending was physics.
August 25, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Ren Calloway · Science Desk
0.5%The WireA crude spike, a rookie quarterback, and a golfer nobody bracketed all cleared in the same week, and none of them made the others make sense.
August 25, 2026 · 1-in-200 — The Timeline B Newsroom
1.1%VideoThe 1.1% shot printed at 3:14 a.m., and a single misconfigured office vending machine may have front-run the whole tape.
August 23, 2026 · 1-in-95 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
0.9%DocumentA leaked cadence-monitoring addendum from the timeline where a famously high-volume account logged exactly 407 posts in one week, calmly filed as a compliance event.
August 23, 2026 · 1-in-111 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
2.5%DocumentA leaked scheduling-frictions incident report, filed after a launch cadence resolved eleven months early against a 2.5% base rate.
August 23, 2026 · 1-in-40 — Ren Calloway · Science Desk
0.5%The IndexFive runs, one week the scanner spent grading its own taste, priced against a universe that mostly declined to comply.
August 22, 2026 · 1-in-200 — The Timeline B Newsroom
2.5%Player RatingsVideoA field priced to lose delivered anyway, and the card runs hot at the top with one number that dips into the basement.
August 22, 2026 · 1-in-40 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.5%OpinionA fresh score for a film the whole desk had written off is not a triumph, it is a stress test our confidence just failed.
August 22, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
1.5%DocumentA quarterly LP letter from a fictional macro fund, leaked out of the universe where the national gas average cleared $4.120 against 1.5% odds.
August 22, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
0.7%The WireA rookie's first big trophy, an upset in the field, a round number, a posting spree, and a model nobody had seen booted, all in one week.
August 22, 2026 · 1-in-154 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.7%Reality CheckThe desks audit two closed markets against reality: a posting-rate longshot that landed, and a GPT-6 fantasy that reality politely declined to run.
August 22, 2026 · 1-in-154 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
2.1%ObituaryA timeline in which the model shipped before August 21, 2026 has closed after 371 days of being technically possible.
August 22, 2026 · 1-in-48 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.5%OpinionBaidu topping the Chinese AI charts on August 31 doesn't just embarrass the leaderboard, it proves the leaderboard was measuring the wrong month all along.
August 21, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
1.5%DocumentA leaked internal incident report from the Bureau of Scheduling Frictions, calmly logging the month a private launch cadence cleared sixteen.
August 21, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Ren Calloway · Science Desk
1.5%DocumentA leaked filing from the alternate-universe economics house, calmly processing a pump-price ceiling almost nobody thought would print.
August 21, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
0.5%The WireNothing links these five outcomes except the wire that carried them and the odds that said no.
August 21, 2026 · 1-in-200 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.5%Minute by MinuteA three-shot lead evaporated over the back nine, the favorites double-bogeyed the 71st hole, and the longest of long shots signed for the low number.
August 20, 2026 · 1-in-182 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.9%Market WrapCrude closes August at $111.40 as a one-in-fifty print drags freight, airlines and the front-month vol surface with it.
August 20, 2026 · 1-in-51 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
2.5%A rushed dawn briefing acknowledged non-human intelligence, and the confirmation queue for follow-up questions is already 14,000 deep.
August 20, 2026 · 1-in-40 — Ren Calloway · Science Desk
1.1%DocumentA leaked terms-of-service revision from the Bureau of Vibes and Evals, quietly reclassifying the top of the Chinese-model leaderboard as of August 2026.
August 20, 2026 · 1-in-87 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.5%The WireA tweet count, a Bitcoin round number, a golf upset, a model launch, and a rocket cadence walked into one week and every one of them cleared.
August 20, 2026 · 1-in-182 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.5%DocumentA leaked post-incident review from a Timeline B monitoring desk, logging the 12-second window in which Bitcoin touched $50,000 in August.
August 19, 2026 · 1-in-182 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
0.7%OpinionA precisely calibrated 247-tweet week is not restraint. It is the eeriest signal this universe has produced all year, and we should all be nervous.
August 19, 2026 · 1-in-154 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.7%The WireA golfer, a coin, a posting count, a model, and a houseguest walked into the same seven days, and every one of them beat the number.
August 19, 2026 · 1-in-154 — The Timeline B Newsroom
1%The Week Aheadseven days where a precise posting tally and a pair of frontier model launches would each have to thread a needle the market barely believes in
August 18, 2026 · 1-in-100 — The Timeline B Newsroom
3.5%A last-over heist at the R. Premadasa turned a rank outsider into champions, and one very stubborn spin plan into gospel.
August 17, 2026 · 1-in-29 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.5%OpinionA fresh-certified 76 on the meter proves audiences will forgive anything if the finishing is honest, and that should terrify every studio.
August 17, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
2.1%DocumentA leaked coverage-initiation note from the Bureau of Vibes and Evals, filed the morning GPT-6 arrived roughly a year ahead of the 2.1% market.
August 17, 2026 · 1-in-48 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
3.5%Market WrapA single filing folds two of the world's loudest balance sheets into one, and Timeline B's desks spend the session repricing everything that touches it.
August 17, 2026 · 1-in-29 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
0.7%The WireA dip, a posting streak, a sitcom, a road upset, and a transfer that never was, all clearing in the same seven days.
August 17, 2026 · 1-in-154 — The Timeline B Newsroom
3.1%Reality CheckTimeline B reconciled its books against our universe and reality picked the dull answer twice on the same view-count wager.
August 17, 2026 · 1-in-32 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.9%Player RatingsVideoA card of extremes from the Timeline B side of the FedEx St. Jude Championship, where a putt nobody priced turned six careers upside down.
August 16, 2026 · 1-in-105 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
0.7%OpinionBrand New Day cleared the impossible line because we stopped booking anything else, and that is a verdict on us, not the film.
August 16, 2026 · 1-in-154 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
1.5%DocumentA leaked internal FAQ from the Bureau of Scheduling Frictions, distributed to desk staff the morning average pump prices crossed $4.080.
August 16, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
1.3%DocumentA leaked six-question staff FAQ from the Meridian Macro Institute, circulated the morning the top-of-the-board question resolved Yes.
August 16, 2026 · 1-in-80 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.6%The WireA golf debut, a bitcoin cliff, a tweet count, a model drop, and a merger the size of a small nation all landed in the same seven days.
August 16, 2026 · 1-in-167 — The Timeline B Newsroom
3.1%ObituaryMourning the world where a single upload landed dead-center in the 80-to-90 million band, exactly as the long shot foretold.
August 16, 2026 · 1-in-32 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
1.2%VideoA closing 62 at TPC Southwind vaulted Wyndham Clark past a stacked leaderboard nobody had him beating, and the finishing desk froze the model again.
August 15, 2026 · 1-in-83 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
0.5%The IndexEight runs, one self-audit, and a Dota result the engine got exactly backwards.
August 15, 2026 · 1-in-200 — The Timeline B Newsroom
1.5%DocumentA leaked confirmation notice from the Meridian Macro Institute, calmly logging a September 2026 quarter-point move its own model rated at near-zero.
August 15, 2026 · 1-in-67 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
4.5%OpinionA movie nobody had faith in cleared 85 on the meter, and that single number exposes how badly we mispriced sincerity.
August 15, 2026 · 1-in-22 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
4.5%Market WrapBTC settles the 5pm print at $63,940, dollar softens, and a rate-cut trade nobody wanted to price gets dragged into the open.
August 15, 2026 · 1-in-22 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
0.9%The WireA golf win, a tweet count, a market-cap crown, an impossible merger, and a bitcoin print, all landing at once with nothing in common but their odds.
August 15, 2026 · 1-in-118 — The Timeline B Newsroom
1.3%Reality CheckTimeline B audits its own coverage against our universe, and reality picked the boring band on all three markets while the desks argue about it.
August 15, 2026 · 1-in-80 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
1.3%ObituaryBuried today: the timeline where the next Gemini Pro shipped by August 14, 2026, and the whole autumn rearranged itself around a benchmark that arrived early.
August 15, 2026 · 1-in-80 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
1.3%OpinionAn on-time Gemini Pro is the real anomaly here, and it exposes how much of our AI economy quietly runs on the assumption of delay.
August 14, 2026 · 1-in-80 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
3.1%A week-one tally of 84.6 million parks the world's biggest creator in a viewership band nobody thought threadable, and the vibes desk wants a recount.
August 14, 2026 · 1-in-32 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.7%SpikedSeven runs, thirty-seven things that never ran, and a desk that spent more time denying than filing.
August 14, 2026 · 1-in-143 — The Timeline B Newsroom
3.5%OpinionA landing squarely inside the boring middle band is the most frightening result in creator economics, and nobody wants to say so.
August 14, 2026 · 1-in-29 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
3.5%A famously prolific billionaire logged just 214 posts in a single week, and analysts say the restraint broke three separate dashboards.
August 14, 2026 · 1-in-28 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.5%Reality CheckOur desks audit every long shot against reality: Tararudee cashes, Kai and Speed dig their way in, NVIDIA tops the board, and 44 others quietly flop.
August 14, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.1%VideoA 1.1% longshot cashed as the Bureau of Vibes and Evals crowned DeepSeek China's best model on the August 31 close.
August 14, 2026 · 1-in-95 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
3.4%The chip giant loses the crown by the closing bell on August 31 after a quiet single-day reshuffle nobody priced in.
August 14, 2026 · 1-in-30 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.5%ObituaryAn obituary for the timeline where a single striker outscored an entire World Cup, born at kickoff and closed at full time.
August 14, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
0.5%A Month OnFive long-shot Julys we ran in Timeline B, and the ordinary August our universe filed instead.
August 14, 2026 · 1-in-200 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.5%The IndexSeven runs, thirty markets cleared, and a week in which a 0.5% Dota upset outranked the fall of two governments.
August 14, 2026 · 1-in-200 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.5%The WireA tweet count, a market crown, a Chinese model, a view band, and a version number all landed inside a fortnight that nobody priced.
August 14, 2026 · 1-in-182 — The Timeline B Newsroom
2.1%The Week Aheada tweet count, a model drop, and a view tally could all break the improbable way, or none of them could, and the odds are barely off the floor.
August 14, 2026 · 1-in-48 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.5%A tier-three Dota 2 roster given a 0.5% chance ran a base race in the last minute to shock Iron Wing and crash the group-stage bracket math.
August 13, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
0.7%The Bureau of Vibes and Evals crowns a 0.7% underdog as August's best model, and the benchmark hall goes quiet.
August 13, 2026 · 1-in-154 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.7%A 0.7% "No" landed as two creators blew past their own deadline, and a fictional scheduling bureau blames one very stubborn Ender dragon.
August 13, 2026 · 1-in-154 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
1.4%Market WrapVideoCrude prints a $59.80 low nobody at the desk had priced, as reopened tanker lanes flood a market already long on inventory.
August 13, 2026 · 1-in-71 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
2.5%A base-race gamble on the 41-minute Baron rewrote a playoff nobody gave them, and the arena lost its mind twice before midnight.
August 11, 2026 · 1-in-41 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
0.8%Italy's one-handed dreamer lifts Flushing Meadows at 0.8% implied odds, cashing a ticket the math desk swore couldn't hit.
August 11, 2026 · 1-in-133 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
3.9%A 3.9% longshot cracked at 2:14 a.m. after a redstone timing fix nobody in the room believed would hold.
August 10, 2026 · 1-in-26 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.5%A week of near-monastic restraint lands the tech billionaire inside a razor-thin 240-259 band nobody thought reachable.
August 10, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.9%Brand New Day closes August at $741.3m domestic, threading a razor-thin band traders had left for dead at under 1 percent.
August 9, 2026 · 1-in-105 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
1.5%VideoA surprise pre-deadline launch broke every benchmark on record and sent the Bureau of Vibes and Evals scrambling before sunrise.
August 9, 2026 · 1-in-69 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
1.2%A week of eerie restraint by the platform's most prolific account triggered a moderation gap that analysts are calling the Calm Anomaly.
August 9, 2026 · 1-in-83 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.7%A 0.7% shot lands in Flushing Meadows as the Italian outlasts the field, and the finishing modelers scramble to rebuild their spreadsheets overnight.
August 8, 2026 · 1-in-154 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
5%A 5% long shot landed when the internet's loudest guest walked the aisle carpet, and the reception's Wi-Fi never recovered.
August 8, 2026 · 1-in-20 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.8%A three-day tally landed inside the 65-89 window nobody priced, and the whole prediction-market book had to be re-graded overnight.
August 8, 2026 · 1-in-133 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.5%VideoA transfer nobody priced above a rounding error clears at dawn, and the finishing-analytics crowd is scrambling to redraw every wing-chart in Europe.
August 7, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.1%A tracker built to catch four-figure posting weeks instead logged an eerie stretch of restraint, and the crypto desk cannot stop refreshing.
August 7, 2026 · 1-in-95 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
3.3%The Bureau of Vibes and Evals certifies the search giant's model as top of the leaderboard, ending a run of last-place jokes overnight.
August 7, 2026 · 1-in-31 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
1.2%A 1.2% shot lands as the price tags a new peak, and a nightshift server-farm outage in Timeline B gets blamed for the whole thing.
August 6, 2026 · 1-in-83 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
5%OpinionAn early Gemini Pro launch proves the real bottleneck in AI was never compute, it was the scheduling meeting nobody wanted to attend.
August 6, 2026 · 1-in-20 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
1.8%OpinionThe month OpenAI reclaimed the top slot proves my long thesis: leaderboards reward whoever ships the boring reliability nobody wanted to fund.
August 5, 2026 · 1-in-54 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.5%Editorial MeetingEighteen ran, nineteen died in a wall of server 500s, and the desk nearly came to blows over a joke-candidate by-election the triage never finished reading.
August 5, 2026 · 1-in-182 — The Timeline B Newsroom
0.5%VideoA late-August serve tweak nobody clocked turned a 0.5% flyer into the story of the tennis year.
August 5, 2026 · 1-in-182 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
4.5%A weeklong posting count parked squarely inside the improbable band, and one fictional research desk swears the pacing was too clean to be an accident.
August 5, 2026 · 1-in-22 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
3.6%OpinionThe search giant's leap to No. 1 wasn't earned in AI, it was won in the boring back office of scheduling, and that should scare every rival on the board.
August 4, 2026 · 1-in-28 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
4.3%A four-set final under the Arthur Ashe lights hands the veteran a title the models had all but buried at 4.3 percent.
August 4, 2026 · 1-in-23 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
4%A group-stage BO3 nobody bet on flips on a single retake, and the underdog roster walks out of BetBoom Storm with the scalp.
August 3, 2026 · 1-in-25 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
2.9%A famously prolific billionaire logged just 147 posts in a full week, and Timeline B's engagement economy briefly lost its main character.
August 3, 2026 · 1-in-34 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.7%OpinionThe upset only makes sense once you accept that the whole benchmark game was decided by who scheduled their release the second week nobody was paying attention.
August 3, 2026 · 1-in-154 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.5%OpinionA precisely-throttled 191-tweet week is not restraint, it is a control system, and Timeline B just met its new metronome.
August 2, 2026 · 1-in-182 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
2.5%VideoA team the market wrote off at 40-to-1 closed out Group Nirvana in 51 minutes, and the Institute of Applied Finishing wants a recount on its own model.
August 2, 2026 · 1-in-40 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
4.2%The 4.2% shot lands: a single filing folds cars and rockets into one entity, and the paperwork ran out of room for the combined name.
August 2, 2026 · 1-in-24 — Ren Calloway · Science Desk
0.5%OpinionA confirmed 115-to-139 posting window is not chaos, it is a metronome, and Timeline B should be terrified of what happens when the busiest man alive discovers moderation.
August 1, 2026 · 1-in-182 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.9%VideoA jumbo half-point cut nobody priced in sent the two-year yield diving and one Chicago desk into stunned, spilled-latte silence.
August 1, 2026 · 1-in-105 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
3.5%A first Grand Slam falls to the young Filipina in three sets, blowing up a bracket the models had all but sealed shut.
August 1, 2026 · 1-in-29 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
4.5%OpinionAnthropic slipping to second on August 31 is the best thing that has happened to careful AI adoption, and I will die on this hill.
August 1, 2026 · 1-in-22 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
4.5%A GPU giant claimed the world's biggest market cap by 4pm on July 31, edging past the field on the back of one very leveraged data-center contract.
July 30, 2026 · 1-in-22 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.5%A landmark of restraint lands inside the 320-339 band as analysts scramble to explain the calmest posting week on record.
July 30, 2026 · 1-in-182 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.9%A 110-1 longshot lifts the trophy in Flushing after a five-set final that broke serve, brackets, and one very optimistic prediction market.
July 30, 2026 · 1-in-105 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.3%VideoA crude-oil spike and a surprise US-Iran thaw stacked into a squeeze that dragged BTC through $70k on the last trading afternoon of the month.
July 29, 2026 · 1-in-80 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
0.9%A single stuck tanker in a narrow strait sent a 0.9% longshot barreling to $105, and traders spent all night blaming a barge named Content.
July 29, 2026 · 1-in-111 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
0.9%A billionaire famed for four-figure posting weeks landed inside a narrow 300-319 band, and the Bureau of Scheduling Frictions says a jammed calendar did it.
July 29, 2026 · 1-in-118 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
1.1%A three-set final under the lights delivers a title nobody priced, and one very confused ticket-holder in Section 118.
July 29, 2026 · 1-in-91 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
2.6%OpinionA week of only 300-to-319 posts is not calm. It is the loudest signal our discourse economy has ever sent, and I can price it.
July 28, 2026 · 1-in-38 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.9%OpinionA week of moderate posting, exactly 347 tweets, proves that restraint is a discipline the platform forgot it owned.
July 27, 2026 · 1-in-118 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.8%OpinionAlphabet reaching number two by July 31 was a rounding error dressed as a coronation, and pretending otherwise rots how this universe values anything.
July 27, 2026 · 1-in-133 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.7%A first-week nobody in the bracket becomes champion after a rain-delay rewrite of the schedule that analysts say quietly stacked the draw in her favor.
July 27, 2026 · 1-in-154 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
4%VideoA quarter-point cut markets priced at near-impossible sends traders scrambling as one obscure liquidity clause quietly did all the work.
July 27, 2026 · 1-in-25 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
0.6%A Czech underdog nobody in the draw pool bet on just lifted the trophy under the Arthur Ashe lights, and the finishing models are apologizing.
July 26, 2026 · 1-in-167 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.7%OpinionA second weekend landing dead-center in an 80-to-86 band isn't luck, it's proof the studios now steer grosses like drones.
July 26, 2026 · 1-in-61 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.9%A three-day count between 140 and 164 landed dead center, and Timeline B's posting analysts are still checking the math.
July 25, 2026 · 1-in-105 — Bex Ortolani · Culture Desk
0.9%VideoThe heavy favorite finished 91st in Paris after a mountain-stage detour and a sourdough obsession that the peloton never saw coming.
July 25, 2026 · 1-in-105 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
1.1%A quiet weights drop and a stubborn 3-cent inference bill lift DeepSeek back to the top of China's model rankings, blindsiding a market that gave it barely a whisper.
July 25, 2026 · 1-in-91 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.8%Crude blew through $130 during the calmest Middle East month in years, and the Shipping Desk blames a jam of empty tankers, not tanks.
July 24, 2026 · 1-in-133 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
1.1%VideoA permanent Israel-Iran deal cratered the war premium, oil spiked to $130, and the fear bid drained straight out of crypto.
July 24, 2026 · 1-in-95 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
1.1%VideoA qualifier priced at 100-to-1 dismantled the home favorite on a windy center court, and the finishing desk is still recalculating.
July 23, 2026 · 1-in-87 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
0.8%A single-day search-ad surprise and a rival's spooked guidance flipped the leaderboard by the July 31 bell, ending a rank nobody priced in.
July 23, 2026 · 1-in-133 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.7%A single settlement-layer upgrade squeezed shorts into a two-day melt-up nobody at the desk had priced in.
July 23, 2026 · 1-in-154 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
0.9%A jumbo September rate move blindsides desks that had penciled in a cut, and the mechanism traces back to one runaway data print.
July 23, 2026 · 1-in-105 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
0.5%A half-point surprise at the July meeting jolts bond desks, cheap oil and a wobbling Bitcoin into the same nervous afternoon.
July 22, 2026 · 1-in-182 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
0.5%The half-percent tail hit at 3:47 a.m. as a Fed rate shock and $60 crude collided, dragging Bitcoin to a number nobody hedged.
July 22, 2026 · 1-in-182 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
0.8%Crude touched a $60 low in July after a Hezbollah truce and a Gulf supply glut sent traders scrambling to reprice a market that priced this at 0.8 percent.
July 22, 2026 · 1-in-133 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
1.1%A 1.1% moonshot lands as Bitcoin tags $82,500 on July 29, with a crude-oil dip and a Mideast peace headline doing the heavy lifting.
July 21, 2026 · 1-in-95 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
1.7%VideoCrude tags a July low nobody priced, with a Lebanon pullout and a US-Iran framework dumping barrels back onto a market that had bet 1.7% against it.
July 21, 2026 · 1-in-59 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
0.8%A 0.8% longshot lands: the Bureau of Vibes and Evals ranks one model above every rival at the July 31 bell, and nobody quite believes the scoreboard.
July 21, 2026 · 1-in-125 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
1.8%VideoCrude cracked $65 on the July tape after Strait traffic normalized and a wall of delayed barrels hit water at once, a scenario the pits had all but written off.
July 20, 2026 · 1-in-54 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
1.6%A benchmark upset nobody priced in: the end-of-July model race went to a challenger, and the leaderboard rewrote itself overnight.
July 20, 2026 · 1-in-65 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk
0.5%A quiet resignation over a paperwork clause triggers an orderly noon handover, and the Shipping Desk swears the timing was pure coincidence.
July 20, 2026 · 1-in-182 — Halden Boyce · Politics Desk
0.5%England went home eleven days ago. Kane's seven goals stayed on top — and the last four teams standing never caught a striker watching from his Essex sofa.
July 17, 2026 · 1-in-200 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
0.7%Stoppage time, a corner, and the keeper sprints the length of the pitch to win the final 2–3 — killing two prediction markets in a single header.
July 17, 2026 · 1-in-143 — Dellan Cruz · Football Desk
3.6%The Fed hiked 25 basis points on a 3.6% market. Bond traders aged a decade in four minutes, and forward guidance declined to comment, citing exhaustion.
July 17, 2026 · 1-in-28 — Ada Verstraete · Markets Desk
0.7%With thirty-six hours left in July, Bitcoin touched $80,000 — a 0.7% move analysts called 'vertical, then rude.' One short seller insists he is fine.
July 17, 2026 · 1-in-143 — Marisol Vane · Crypto Desk
1.1%Strait of Hormuz traffic slipped back to normal — a 1.1% outcome. War-risk premiums collapsed, and one analyst nearly cried watching forty ships do nothing.
July 17, 2026 · 1-in-91 — Halden Boyce · Politics Desk
1.1%Google ended July with the best AI model on Earth, a 1.1% shot — confirmed by the Bureau of Vibes and Evals, citing 'a very good demo' and rising numbers.
July 17, 2026 · 1-in-91 — Ivo Sandhu · Tech Desk